The new challenges for lobbyists in a fragmented National Assembly
With the National Assembly more divided than ever, lobbyists find themselves navigating uncharted waters. The absence of an absolute majority after the early legislative elections upsets the balance of powers in France, increasing the influence of Parliament to the detriment of the Élysée. This change forces lobbying firms to step up their efforts to influence lawmakers, rather than focusing primarily on presidential advisers.
The new political environment
The current political landscape, marked by the rise of Melenchonist and Lepenist forces, presents a major challenge for interest representatives. Traditionally, lobbyists requested meetings with elected officials and provided technical notes to influence legislation. However, with a fragmented Parliament where left-wing parties like La France Insoumise (LFI) and the National Rally (RN) occupy nearly 40% of the seats, strategies must evolve.
Complex relationships with political parties
Relations with LFI and environmentalists are tense, the latter being suspicious of lobbying. Gabriel Amard, LFI deputy, underlines their reluctance to engage in dialogue with those who defend particular interests. In contrast, socialists and communists are seen as more open to discussion, especially when it comes to local economic concerns.
The RN, the leading parliamentary group, is more willing to collaborate with lobbyists, although this creates unease among certain consultants. Businesses are hesitant to associate with a party often considered anti-system. Nevertheless, the RN continues to dialogue with certain sectors, attracting collaborators from the private sector to strengthen its influence.
The challenges of parliamentary fragmentation
The National Assembly now has eleven groups, a record under the Fifth Republic, making legislative forecasts uncertain. “Parliamentary niches”, where each group sets the agenda, add to this unpredictability. Unexpected alliances between LFI and the RN could emerge, particularly on subjects such as the repeal of the pension reform.
The Senate as a pole of stability
In this context of volatility, the Senate could become a refuge of stability. According to Tiphaine Mercier de Havas, the increased role of the Senate could strengthen the “central bloc” made up of Macronists and Republicans, thus facilitating dialogue between businesses and elected officials.
Despite the uncertainty in the Assembly, some consultants see opportunities, anticipating a gradual normalization of relations between businesses and the RN. The prospect of the 2027 presidential election, as well as the possibility of a new dissolution, accentuates the need for lobbyists to quickly adapt to this new political environment.
